Kalshi vs sportsbooks
A Kalshi contract pays $1 if the event happens, so a YES price of $0.62 implies about a 62% chance. We convert that to American odds and compare it with the no-vig consensus of DraftKings, BetMGM, BetOnline and Caesars moneylines. Positive = Kalshi rates the team higher than the books.
Kalshi prices shown are YES ask prices and include no fee adjustment. Kalshi charges trading fees.
| Sport | Team to win | Kalshi YES | Kalshi implied | Book consensus (no-vig) | Disagreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | Iowa State Cyclones Iowa State Cyclones @ Arizona Wildcats | $0.30 | 30% (+233) | 24.0% (+317) | +6.0 pts |
| NBA | Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic | $0.60 | 60% (-150) | 55.4% (-124) | +4.6 pts |
| NCAAF | BYU Cougars BYU Cougars @ UCF Knights | $0.79 | 79% (-376) | 74.4% (-291) | +4.6 pts |
| NCAAF | Virginia Tech Hokies Virginia Tech Hokies @ Clemson Tigers | $0.55 | 55% (-122) | 50.4% (-102) | +4.5 pts |
| NCAAF | Minnesota Golden Gophers Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers | $0.42 | 42% (+138) | 37.8% (+165) | +4.3 pts |
| NBA | Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards | $0.69 | 69% (-223) | 65.1% (-187) | +3.9 pts |
| NCAAF | LSU Tigers LSU Tigers @ Auburn Tigers | $0.71 | 71% (-245) | 67.5% (-208) | +3.5 pts |
| NCAAF | Clemson Tigers Virginia Tech Hokies @ Clemson Tigers | $0.53 | 53% (-113) | 49.6% (+102) | +3.5 pts |
| NCAAF | UCF Knights BYU Cougars @ UCF Knights | $0.29 | 29% (+245) | 25.6% (+291) | +3.4 pts |
| NFL | Houston Texans New York Giants @ Houston Texans | $0.79 | 79% (-376) | 75.7% (-312) | +3.2 pts |
| NCAAF | North Dakota State Bison North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos | $0.41 | 41% (+144) | 37.8% (+165) | +3.2 pts |
| NFL | Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | $0.76 | 76% (-317) | 72.8% (-268) | +3.2 pts |
| NCAAF | Arizona Wildcats Iowa State Cyclones @ Arizona Wildcats | $0.79 | 79% (-376) | 76.0% (-317) | +3.0 pts |
| NFL | Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions | $0.66 | 66% (-194) | 63.1% (-171) | +2.9 pts |
| NCAAF | Iowa Hawkeyes Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers | $0.65 | 65% (-186) | 62.2% (-165) | +2.8 pts |
| NCAAF | Miami (OH) RedHawks Akron Zips @ Miami (OH) RedHawks | $0.78 | 78% (-355) | 75.5% (-308) | +2.6 pts |
| NBA | Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors | $0.77 | 77% (-335) | 74.5% (-293) | +2.5 pts |
| NCAAF | Ohio Bobcats Ohio Bobcats @ Sacramento State Hornets | $0.86 | 86% (-614) | 83.6% (-508) | +2.4 pts |
| NCAAF | Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores @ Kentucky Wildcats | $0.79 | 79% (-376) | 76.6% (-327) | +2.4 pts |
| NCAAF | Army Black Knights Florida Atlantic Owls @ Army Black Knights | $0.58 | 58% (-138) | 55.6% (-125) | +2.4 pts |